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2024-12-14 10:35:49

A Chinese news agency issued a document after the market today, saying that China's monetary policy has changed from "steady" to "moderately loose" to send a positive signal. Recently, the voice of the central media has been relatively frequent. I think this is a way of expected management.Therefore, I think that the probability of shrinking and rebounding tomorrow is relatively high. Just remember that there will be no ups and downs before all the meetings are held this week. The more cautious the funds may be in the future, it does not rule out that it will be like this time, and it will be possible to make an intraday plunge in advance and then brush away a batch, and then it will be good and open higher.From the perspective of investors' confidence and emotions, everyone may have insufficient confidence in all normal expectations after the close of trading today, but under the stable tone, there will definitely be repeated anxiety behind the long and short positions, and long funds will not dare to rise, and short funds will not dare to continue to smash.


(1) After a meeting, the next expected meeting on the economy will begin tomorrow, which is still the focus of everyone's attention.2. Today's A-share market has set a new record. After the turnover of A-share market exceeded 2.2 trillion today, it has exceeded one trillion for 50 consecutive trading days, making it the longest record in history.Yesterday's news mentioned some macro policies, such as unconventional countercyclical adjustment, moderately loose and more active fiscal policies, but apart from these descriptions, we didn't see more details.


(2) Will there be a rebound tomorrow?From the perspective of investors' confidence and emotions, everyone may have insufficient confidence in all normal expectations after the close of trading today, but under the stable tone, there will definitely be repeated anxiety behind the long and short positions, and long funds will not dare to rise, and short funds will not dare to continue to smash.Therefore, the next meeting is expected to have more details about the economy, but the specific figures that everyone expects, such as deficit ratio, will have to wait for the two sessions next year. Now it depends more on more economic policies.

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